Nasdaq-100 + the AI / humanoid complex · 144 of 145 resolved · 98 on an older bar

AI & Humanoid Screen

Ranked by %B ascending — which names are on sale — not by momentum. Measured on the AI complex over the 2023+ wave, forward 60 days: buying dips beat simply holding by +3.47 pts, while buying strength lost 2.65 pts and top-quartile 12-month momentum lost 3.01 pts. Owning the complex at all was worth +17.95%, which is roughly five times what the timing overlay adds.

Why there are two signals. Meta launched Muse on 2026-09-08 and ran +20.3% before the first analyst upgrade on 09-21 — following that upgrade captured 2% of the move. Replaying these rules over those sessions:
%B < 0.20 dip rule2026-08-21 @ 549.47+35.4%18 days before the launch, and META was 11.8% below its 200-day
move + volume spike2026-09-09 @ 653.17+13.9%the day after the launch
follow the analyst2026-09-21 @ 741.25+0.4%the move was over
The dip rule caught it by accident — it was buying a drawdown, not predicting a product. The spike rule reacts to the catalyst, late but not uselessly. They are labelled separately so a reaction is never mistaken for a setup.

Buy zone

%B below 0.2, liquid, and passes the 1–3 year hold gate (≥80% of rolling 2-year windows positive with a 10th percentile above -10%).

TickerClose1d%Bvs 20dvs 200drangeATR$vol/d2y pos2y p10msgsVerdict
TMUS2026-09-21
ndx100		 165.27-1.73% -0.07 -7.6%-13.5%0% 3.3%797M 95% 4w +8.9%— BUY ZONE
CSCO
ndx100		 106.44-4.50% -0.06 -3.1%+10.8%64% 2.9%2.1B 82% 4w -3.2%— BUY ZONE
CSX2026-09-21
ndx100		 45.99-2.36% -0.04 -6.6%+5.4%65% 2.2%521M 90% 4w -0.2%— BUY ZONE
PCAR2026-09-21
ndx100		 114.73-1.15% -0.01 -6.7%-4.5%51% 2.6%341M 98% 4w +8.1%— BUY ZONE
XEL2026-09-21
ndx100		 71.85-0.62% 0.01 -4.0%-6.8%16% 1.8%394M 82% 4w -6.9%— BUY ZONE
ORLY2026-09-21
ndx100		 82.88-2.16% 0.02 -4.6%-9.3%1% 2.2%540M 100% 4w +27.8%— BUY ZONE
AEP2026-09-21
ndx100		 120.03+0.02% 0.06 -2.2%-4.3%48% 1.7%470M 86% 4w -2.5%— BUY ZONE
VRSK2026-09-21
ndx100		 172.02-1.93% 0.08 -6.3%-10.1%17% 3.7%268M 83% 4w -9.0%— BUY ZONE
INTU2026-09-21
ndx100		 304.12+0.31% 0.12 -8.9%-25.6%11% 4.5%1.2B 84% 4w -9.9%— BUY ZONE
CCEP2026-09-21
ndx100		 100.53+0.76% 0.12 -4.8%+2.9%60% 2.1%183M 94% 4w +5.4%— BUY ZONE
TRI2026-09-21
ndx100		 95.43+1.10% 0.13 -7.0%-2.6%24% 4.5%152M 90% 4w -1.9%— BUY ZONE
CTAS2026-09-21
ndx100		 196.88-0.38% 0.13 -2.1%+5.4%64% 1.9%380M 99% 4w +23.3%— BUY ZONE
LIN2026-09-21
ndx100		 457.50-0.63% 0.15 -3.5%-4.7%45% 1.6%987M 100% 4w +17.9%— BUY ZONE
BKNG
ndx100		 164.22-2.55% 0.16 -11.2%-10.6%16% 4.0%1.1B 84% 4w -5.0%— BUY ZONE
VRTX2026-09-21
ndx100		 510.72+0.47% 0.18 -4.1%+8.5%74% 2.4%582M 92% 4w +1.7%— BUY ZONE
PAYX2026-09-21
ndx100		 115.01-0.97% 0.19 -4.8%+12.1%72% 2.3%312M 88% 4w -2.0%— BUY ZONE
ODFL2026-09-21
ndx100		 175.36+1.36% 0.20 -6.0%-11.6%41% 3.4%319M 88% 4w -5.7%— BUY ZONE

Catalyst spikes today

A move of 5%+ on 2×+ the 20-day average volume. This is a reaction, not a setup — something happened, and the rule does not know what or which direction it resolves.

TickerClose1d%Bvs 20dvs 200drangeATR$vol/d2y pos2y p10msgsVerdict
SHOP
ndx100		 147.74+7.12% 0.72 +6.1%+13.5%63% 4.5%1.0B 77% 4w -61.5%— neutral
SPIKE +7.1% · 3.0x
WBD2026-09-21
ndx100		 30.80+10.79% 1.44 +8.2%+11.9%100% 1.8%513M 40% 4w -61.0%— extended
SPIKE +10.8% · 12.5x

Near the band / neutral

Dips that fail the hold gate, plus names with no measured edge either way.

TickerClose1d%Bvs 20dvs 200drangeATR$vol/d2y pos2y p10msgsVerdict
FANG2026-09-21
ndx100		 189.27-1.64% -0.08 -5.7%+4.2%71% 3.4%382M 68% 4w -49.1%— DIP · FAILS HOLD
PEP2026-09-21
ndx100		 129.59-0.12% -0.07 -5.5%-10.8%0% 1.8%1.1B 78% 4w -11.1%— DIP · FAILS HOLD
KDP2026-09-21
ndx100		 30.62-1.10% -0.06 -4.0%+5.3%67% 2.3%362M 70% 4w -9.1%— DIP · FAILS HOLD
MDLZ2026-09-21
ndx100		 60.17-1.12% -0.06 -3.2%+2.4%66% 2.1%479M 79% 4w -7.6%— DIP · FAILS HOLD
CPRT2026-09-21
ndx100		 28.91-1.26% -0.00 -9.2%-14.9%9% 3.8%302M 87% 4w -15.7%— DIP · FAILS HOLD
ROP2026-09-21
ndx100		 365.40-1.97% 0.04 -8.8%-1.7%25% 2.8%289M 85% 4w -14.7%— DIP · FAILS HOLD
CMCSA
ndx100		 22.42-2.22% 0.05 -11.4%-15.1%5% 3.2%667M 57% 4w -26.8%— DIP · FAILS HOLD
NFLX
ndx100		 72.16-1.64% 0.05 -7.7%-15.2%8% 3.3%2.5B 77% 4w -39.2%— DIP · FAILS HOLD
ADBE
ndx100		 238.25-4.52% 0.09 -10.4%-9.8%26% 4.4%1.2B 64% 4w -42.9%— DIP · FAILS HOLD
CSGP2026-09-21
ndx100		 29.04-0.17% 0.09 -6.3%-30.6%3% 4.3%186M 62% 4w -22.5%— DIP · FAILS HOLD
SBUX2026-09-21
ndx100		 94.90-0.97% 0.10 -7.3%-2.5%58% 2.5%657M 75% 4w -8.6%— DIP · FAILS HOLD
NOVT2026-09-21
humanoid_disclosed		 134.31+0.88% 0.13 -5.3%-3.5%50% 4.2%56M 76% 4w -21.7%— DIP · FAILS HOLD
TTD
ndx100		 13.18-5.04% 0.13 -6.1%-44.3%0% 5.2%268M 70% 4w -46.7%— DIP · FAILS HOLD
MELI2026-09-21
ndx100		 1,820.47+1.85% 0.13 -4.9%-1.7%28% 3.3%744M 78% 4w -24.0%— DIP · FAILS HOLD
RRX2026-09-21
humanoid_disclosed		 150.73+1.81% 0.18 -4.5%-19.8%21% 4.4%206M 80% 4w -7.0%— DIP · FAILS HOLD
ALB2026-09-21
humanoid_materials		 112.92+1.81% 0.18 -10.2%-27.3%25% 4.8%272M 49% 4w -62.4%— DIP · FAILS HOLD
KHC2026-09-21
ndx100		 24.37-0.25% 0.21 -1.9%+4.8%58% 2.7%357M 37% 4w -58.1%— neutral
AXON2026-09-21
ndx100		 452.06+0.96% 0.21 -12.9%-10.1%25% 6.1%459M 98% 4w +22.1%— neutral
BKR2026-09-21
ndx100		 57.83+1.01% 0.24 -4.9%-1.4%55% 3.2%446M 65% 4w -44.0%— neutral
COST2026-09-21
ndx100		 898.48+0.35% 0.25 -2.6%-6.2%21% 1.6%1.9B 100% 4w +27.5%— neutral
TTWO2026-09-21
ndx100		 209.92+2.18% 0.25 -4.1%-7.3%28% 3.6%512M 76% 4w -25.0%— neutral
ADP2026-09-21
ndx100		 269.94-0.47% 0.27 -2.1%+15.0%84% 2.0%580M 93% 4w +4.3%— neutral
ADSK2026-09-21
ndx100		 218.85+0.88% 0.31 -6.2%-10.0%23% 4.2%450M 74% 4w -26.7%— neutral
IDXX2026-09-21
ndx100		 515.30+0.71% 0.32 -2.6%-13.6%4% 2.8%299M 77% 4w -13.7%— neutral
PDD2026-09-21
ndx100		 79.30+0.51% 0.33 -2.8%-17.5%9% 2.5%517M 63% 4w -43.0%— neutral

Extended

%B above 1.00 — the stall zone, −2.65 pts vs the null at 60 days. Not a short signal; a not-today signal.

TickerClose1d%Bvs 20dvs 200drangeATR$vol/d2y pos2y p10msgsVerdict
WMT
ndx100		 110.12+2.49% 1.01 +3.5%-6.8%30% 1.9%2.4B 98% 4w +7.6%— extended
ANET2026-09-21
ai_network		 205.42+3.02% 1.01 +5.5%+32.1%95% 4.0%1.2B 86% 4w -12.2%— extended
ZS2026-09-21
ndx100		 207.13+4.98% 1.01 +14.8%+23.2%41% 4.8%411M 67% 4w -36.5%— extended
MRVL
ndx100ai_compute		 262.36+1.93% 1.02 +14.0%+64.0%78% 5.5%4.9B 86% 4w -7.7%— extended
QCOM
ndx100		 198.27+2.08% 1.03 +12.9%+18.5%60% 4.4%2.0B 75% 4w -13.6%— extended
ETN2026-09-21
ai_power		 435.43+2.51% 1.04 +6.6%+13.6%83% 3.5%774M 99% 4w +14.0%— extended
TXN2026-09-21
ndx100		 270.87+1.59% 1.05 +3.8%+11.6%67% 3.3%1.8B 88% 4w -1.8%— extended
ARKQ2026-09-21
humanoid_etf		 125.49+2.69% 1.05 +3.0%+1.1%57% 2.1%13M 76% 4w -33.3%— extended
ADI2026-09-21
ndx100		 383.00+1.94% 1.07 +4.8%+8.7%72% 3.0%1.3B 98% 4w +15.1%— extended
INTC
ndx100		 123.86+1.71% 1.09 +24.8%+58.9%85% 5.2%10.4B 49% 4w -37.8%— extended
MSTR
ndx100		 167.33-0.69% 1.10 +22.7%+22.3%31% 5.6%2.0B 64% 4w -40.8%— extended
TSM
ai_compute		 452.00+1.54% 1.10 +6.3%+19.3%88% 2.4%4.9B 83% 4w -16.0%— extended
ISRG2026-09-21
ndx100		 401.65+2.12% 1.12 +7.7%-11.6%27% 3.0%968M 85% 4w -6.6%— extended
AMD
ndx100ai_compute		 623.77+1.34% 1.13 +23.2%+73.9%100% 4.1%12.3B 89% 4w -2.7%— extended
MU
ndx100ai_memory		 1,096.16+5.00% 1.17 +12.7%+69.1%89% 4.6%31.8B 80% 4w -13.6%— extended